ISSN 1009-6248CN 61-1149/P Bimonthly

Supervisor:China Geological Survey

Sponsored by:XI'an Center of China Geological Survey
Geological Society of China

    • The Core Journals of China
    • The Key Magazine of China Technology
    • CSCD Included Journals
    • Scopus Included Journals
Advance Search
LI Guangming,YANG Yufei,TANG Yaming,et al. Comparison Study in Landslide Susceptibility Assessment by Using Data-driven models: A Case Study from the Middle Stream of the Yellow River[J]. Northwestern Geology,2025,58(2):51−65. doi: 10.12401/j.nwg.2024064
Citation: LI Guangming,YANG Yufei,TANG Yaming,et al. Comparison Study in Landslide Susceptibility Assessment by Using Data-driven models: A Case Study from the Middle Stream of the Yellow River[J]. Northwestern Geology,2025,58(2):51−65. doi: 10.12401/j.nwg.2024064

Comparison Study in Landslide Susceptibility Assessment by Using Data-driven models: A Case Study from the Middle Stream of the Yellow River

More Information
  • Received Date: September 27, 2022
  • Revised Date: May 26, 2024
  • Available Online: March 02, 2025
  • Accurate landslide susceptibility maps are beneficial for management departments to carry out land use planning and disaster prevention and mitigation. It has been an important field in the landslide risk assessment and management in China. This study aims to compare and analyze the performance of different data-driven models in the assessment of regional landslide susceptibility. The middle reaches of the Yellow river were selected as the study area, and a database including 684 historical landslide points was obtained through detailed field investigation combined with visual interpretation of remote sensing images. 14 evaluation factors were selected, Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between these factors, and the C5.0 decision tree algorithm was used to determine the importance of each factor. Three typical data-driven models (Weighted Information Volume (WIV), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF)) were selected to evaluate the regional landslide susceptibility, and the performance of the models were verified by the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the area AUC value under the curve. The results show that the distance from the road, the distance from the river and the slope are the most important contributing factors to the occurrence of landslides in this area. The majority of historical landslides occurred in the moderate and high susceptibility zones on the landslide susceptibility map. The landslide points in the high/very high susceptibility area obtained by SVM and RF models exceed 70% of the total landslide points. The RF model performed the best, with the high susceptibility area accounting for 21.9% of the area and the number of landslides accounting for 90.5% of all historical landslide points. A comparison of AUC accuracy shows that the RF model is more accurate than the other two models: RF has an AUC of 0.904, while WIV and SVM have AUCs of 0.845 and 0.847 respectively.

  • 付泉, 党光普, 李致博, 等. 基于分形维数耦合支持向量机和熵权模型的滑坡易发性研究[J]. 西北地质, 2024, 57(6): 255−267.

    FU Quan,DANG Guangpu,LI Zhibo,et al. Study of Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on Fractal Dimension Integrating Support Vector Machine with Index of Entropy Model[J]. Northwestern Geology,2024,57(6):255−267.
    郭子正, 殷坤龙, 黄发明, 等. 基于地表监测数据和非线性时间序列组合模型的滑坡位移预测[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2018, 37(S1): 3392−3399.

    GUO Zizheng, YIN Kunlong, HUANG Faming, et al. Landslide displacement prediction based on surface monitoring data and nonlinear time series combination model[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2018,37(S1):3392−3399.
    郭子正, 殷坤龙, 黄发明, 等. 基于滑坡分类和加权频率比模型的滑坡易发性评价[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2019a, 38(2): 287−300.

    GUO Zizheng, YIN Kunlong, HUANG Faming, et al. Evaluation of landslide susceptibility based on landslide classification and weighted frequency ratio model[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2019a,38(2):287−300.
    郭子正, 殷坤龙, 付圣, 等. 基于GIS与WOE-BP模型的滑坡易发性评价[J]. 地球科学, 2019b, 44(12): 4299−4312.

    GUO Zizheng, YIN Kunlong, FU Sheng, et al. Evaluation of landslides susceptibility based on GIS and WOE-BP model[J]. Earth Science,2019b,44(12):4299−4312.
    黄发明, 叶舟, 姚池, 等. 滑坡易发性预测不确定性: 环境因子不同属性区间划分和不同数据驱动模型的影响[J]. 地球科学, 2020, 45(12): 4535−4549.

    HUANG Faming,YE Zhou,YAO Chi,et al. Uncertainties of Landslide Susceptibility Prediction: Different Attribute Interval Divisions of Environmental Factors and Different Data-Based Models[J]. Earth Science,2020,45(12):4535−4549.
    黄发明, 陈佳武, 唐志鹏, 等. 不同空间分辨率和训练测试集比例下的滑坡易发性预测不确定性[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2021, 40(6): 1155−1169.

    HUANG Faming, CHEN Jiawu, TANG Zhipeng, et al. Uncertainties of Landslide Susceptibility Prediction: Different Attribute Interval Divisions of Environmental Factors and Different Data-Based Models[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2021,40(6):1155−1169.
    黄煜, 谢婉丽, 刘琦琦, 等. 基于GIS与MaxEnt模型的滑坡易发性评价—以铜川市中部城区为例[J]. 西北地质, 2023, 56(1): 266−275.

    HUANG Yu, XIE Wanli, LIU Qiqi, et al. Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Based on GIS and MaxEnt Model: Example from Central Districts in Tongchuan City[J]. Northwestern Geology,2023,56(1):266−275.
    贾俊, 毛伊敏, 孟晓捷, 等. 深度随机森林和随机森林算法的滑坡易发性评价对比—以汉中市略阳县为例[J]. 西北地质, 2023, 56(3): 239−249.

    JIA Jun, MAO Yimin, MENG Xiaojie, et al. Comparison of Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation by Deep Random Forest and Random Forest Model: A Case Study of Lueyang County, Hanzhong City[J]. Northwestern Geology,2023,56(3):239−249.
    李婧, 卢玲, 唐泽. 基于TRIGRS模型的区域降雨型浅层滑坡危险性评价[J]. 甘肃水利水电技术, 2022, 58: 24−27.

    LI Jing, LU Ling, TANG Ze. Risk assessment of regional rainfall-type shallow landslide based on TRIGRS model[J]. Gansu Water Resources and Hydropower Technology,2022,58:24−27.
    李泽芝, 王新刚. 镇域尺度下秦巴山区堆积层滑坡易发性不同单元评价性能对比研究[J]. 西北地质, 2024, 57(1): 1−11.

    LI Zezhi,WANG Xingang. Comparative Study on Evaluation Performance of Different Units of Susceptibility of Accumulation Layer Landslide in Qinba Mountain Area at Town Scale[J]. Northwestern Geology,2024,57(1):1−11.
    林琴, 郭永刚, 吴升杰, 等. 基于梯度提升的优化集成机器学习算法对滑坡易发性评价: 以雅鲁藏布江与尼洋河两岸为例[J]. 西北地质, 2024, 57(1): 12−22.

    LIN Qin,GUO Yonggang,WU Shengjie,et al. Evaluation of Landslide Susceptibility by Optimization Integrated Machine Learning Algorithm Based on Gradient Boosting: Take Both Banks of Yarlung Zangbo River and Niyang River as Examples[J]. Northwestern Geology,2024,57(1):12−22.
    林明明, 赵勇, 王坤, 等. 基于多源时序InSAR技术的滑坡隐患早期识别[J]. 西北地质, 2024, 57(6): 268−277.

    LIN Mingming,ZHAO Yong,WANG Kun,et al. Early Identification of Potential Dangers of Loess Landslide Based on Multi-Source and Time Series InSAR[J]. Northwestern Geology,2024,57(6):268−277.
    田乃满, 兰恒星, 伍宇明, 等. 人工神经网络和决策树模型在滑坡易发性分析中的性能对比[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2020, 22(12): 2304−2316. doi: 10.12082/dqxxkx.2020.190766

    TIAN Naiman, LAN Hengxing, WU Yuming, et al. Performance Comparison of BP Artificial Neural Network and CART Decision Tree Model in Landslide Susceptibility Prediction[J]. Journal of Geo-Information Science,2020,22(12):2304−2316. doi: 10.12082/dqxxkx.2020.190766
    王本栋, 李四全, 许万忠, 等. 基于3种不同机器学习算法的滑坡易发性评价对比研究[J]. 西北地质, 2024, 57(1): 34−43.

    WANG Bendong,LI Siquan,XU Wanzhong,et al. A Comparative Study of Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation Based on Three Different Machine Learning Algorithms[J]. Northwestern Geology,2024,57(1):34−43.
    武利. 基于SINMAP模型的区域滑坡危险性定量评估及模型验证[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2012, 28(2): 35−39+113.

    WU Li. Quantitative assessment and model validation of regional landslide risk based on SINMAP model[J]. Geography and Geographic Information Science,2012,28(2):35−39+113.
    许冲, 戴福初, 姚鑫, 等. 基于GIS与确定性系数分析方法的汶川地震滑坡易发性评价[J]. 工程地质学报, 2010, 18(1): 15−26. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9665.2010.01.003

    XU Chong, DAI Fuchu, YAO Xin, et al. Landslide susceptibility evaluation of Wenchuan earthquake based on GIS and deterministic coefficient analysis method[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering Geology,2010,18(1):15−26. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9665.2010.01.003
    张俊, 殷坤龙, 王佳佳, 等. 三峡库区万州区滑坡灾害易发性评价研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2016, 35(2): 284−296.

    ZHANG Jun, YIN Kunlong, WAND Jiajia, et al. Evaluation of landslide susceptibility for Wanzhou district of Three Gorges Reservoir[J]. Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2016,35(2):284−296.
    张林梵. 基于时序InSAR的黄土滑坡隐患早期识别—以白鹿塬西南区为例[J]. 西北地质, 2023, 56(3): 250−257.

    ZHANG Linfan. Early Identification of Hidden Dangers of Loess Landslide Based on Time Series InSAR: A Case Study of Southwest Bailuyuan[J]. Northwestern Geology,2023,56(3):250−257.
    Bhandary N P, Dahal R K, Timilsina M, et al. Rainfall event-based landslide susceptibility zonation mapping[J]. Natural Hazards,2013,69(1):365−388. doi: 10.1007/s11069-013-0715-x
    Binh T P, Jaafari A, Prakash I, et al. A novel hybrid intelligent model of support vector machines and the MultiBoost ensemble for landslide susceptibility modeling[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment,2019,78(4):2865−2886. doi: 10.1007/s10064-018-1281-y
    Bueechi E, Klimes J, Frey H, et al. Regional-scale landslide susceptibility modelling in the Cordillera Blanca, Perua comparison of different approaches[J]. Landslides,2019,16(2):395−407. doi: 10.1007/s10346-018-1090-1
    Catani F, Lagomarsino D, Segoni S, et al. Landslide susceptibility estimation by random forests technique: sensitivity and scaling issues[J]. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,2013,13(11):2815−2831. doi: 10.5194/nhess-13-2815-2013
    Chang Z, Du Z, Zhang F, et al. Landslide Susceptibility Prediction Based on Remote Sensing Images and GIS: Comparisons of Supervised and Unsupervised Machine Learning Models[J]. Remote Sensing,2020,12(3):502. doi: 10.3390/rs12030502
    Cherkassky V. The nature of statistical learning theory[J]. IEEE transactions on neural networks,1997,8(6):1564. doi: 10.1109/TNN.1997.641482
    Dou J, Yunus A P, Dieu T B, et al. Improved landslide assessment using support vector machine with bagging, boosting, and stacking ensemble machine learning framework in a mountainous watershed, Japan[J]. Landslides,2020,17(3):641−658. doi: 10.1007/s10346-019-01286-5
    Fell R, Cororninas J, Bonnard C, et al. Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk-zoning for land use planning[J]. Engineering Geology,2008,102(3-4):85−98. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.03.022
    Froude M J, Petley D N. Global fatal landslide occurrence from 2004 to 2016[J]. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,2018,18(8):2161−2181. doi: 10.5194/nhess-18-2161-2018
    Goetz J N, Brenning A, Petschko H, et al. Evaluating machine learning and statistical prediction techniques for landslide susceptibility modeling[J]. Computers & Geosciences,2015,81:1−11.
    Goetz J N, Guthrie R H, Brenning A. Integrating physical and empirical landslide susceptibility models using generalized additive models[J]. Geomorphology,2011,129(3-4):376−386. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2011.03.001
    Guo Z, Shi Y, Huang F, et al. Landslide susceptibility zonation method based on C5.0 decision tree and K-means cluster algorithms to improve the efficiency of risk management[J]. Geoscience Frontiers,2021,12(6):101249. doi: 10.1016/j.gsf.2021.101249
    Guo Z, Yin K, Liu Q, et al. Rainfall Warning of Creeping Landslide in Yunyang County of Three Gorges Reservoir Region Based on Displacement Ratio Model[J]. Earth Science,2020,45(2):672−684.
    Guo Z, Wang H, He J, et al. PSLSA v2.0: An automatic Python package integrating machine learning models for regional landslide susceptibility assessment[J]. Environmental Modelling & Software,2025,186:106367.
    Guzzetti F, Reichenbach P, Cardinali M, et al. Probabilistic landslide hazard assessment at the basin scale[J]. Geomorphology,2005,72(1-4):272−299. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2005.06.002
    He J, Qiu H, Qu F, et al. Prediction of spatiotemporal stability and rainfall threshold of shallow landslides using the TRIGRS and Scoops3D models[J]. Catena,2021,197:104999. doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104999
    Huang F, Yin K, Huang J, et al. Landslide susceptibility mapping based on self-organizing-map network and extreme learning machine[J]. Engineering Geology,2017,223:11−22. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2017.04.013
    Huang Y, Xu C, Zhang X, et al. An Updated Database and Spatial Distribution of Landslides Triggered by the Milin, Tibet M(w)6.4 Earthquake of 18 November 2017[J]. Journal of Earth Science,2021,32(5):1069−1078. doi: 10.1007/s12583-021-1433-z
    Hungr O, Leroueil S, Picarelli L. The Varnes classification of landslide types, an update[J]. Landslides,2014,11(2):167−194. doi: 10.1007/s10346-013-0436-y
    Kouli M, Loupasakis C, Soupios P, et al. Landslide susceptibility mapping by comparing the WLC and WofE multi-criteria methods in the West Crete Island, Greece[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences,2014,72(12):5197−5219. doi: 10.1007/s12665-014-3389-0
    Nsengiyumva J B, Valentino R. Predicting landslide susceptibility and risks using GIS-based machine learning simulations, case of upper Nyabarongo catchment[J]. Geomatics Natural Hazards & Risk,2020,11(1):1250−1277.
    Pereira S, Zezere J L, Bateira C. Technical Note: Assessing predictive capacity and conditional independence of landslide predisposing factors for shallow landslide susceptibility models[J]. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,2012,12(4):979−988. doi: 10.5194/nhess-12-979-2012
    Pradhan B. A comparative study on the predictive ability of the decision tree, support vector machine and neuro-fuzzy models in landslide susceptibility mapping using GIS[J]. Computers & Geosciences,2013,51:350−365.
    Reichenbach P, Rossi M, Malamud B D, et al. A review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility models[J]. Earth-Science Reviews,2018,180:60−91. doi: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.03.001
    Rossi M, Guzzetti F, Reichenbach P, et al. Optimal landslide susceptibility zonation based on multiple forecasts[J]. Geomorphology,2010,114(3):129−142. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2009.06.020
    Segoni S, Pappafico G, Luti T, et al. Landslide susceptibility assessment in complex geological settings: sensitivity to geological information and insights on its parameterization[J]. Landslides,2020,17(10):2443−2453. doi: 10.1007/s10346-019-01340-2
    Sezer E A, Nefeslioglu H A, Osna T. An expert-based landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) module developed for Netcad Architect Software[J]. Computers & Geosciences,2017,98:26−37.
    Tang Y, Feng F, Guo Z, et al. Integrating principal component analysis with statistically-based models for analysis of causal factors and landslide susceptibility mapping: A comparative study from the loess plateau area in Shanxi (China)[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2020,277:124159. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124159
    Wang Q, Guo Y, Li W, et al. Predictive modeling of landslide hazards in Wen County, northwestern China based on information value, weights-of-evidence, and certainty factor[J]. Geomatics Natural Hazards & Risk,2019,10(1):820−835.
    Wang Y, Feng L, Li S, et al. A hybrid model considering spatial heterogeneity for landslide susceptibility mapping in Zhejiang Province, China[J]. Catena,2020,188:104425. doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2019.104425
    Yao X, Tham L G, Dai F. Landslide susceptibility mapping based on Support Vector Machine: A case study on natural slopes of Hong Kong, China[J]. Geomorphology,2008,101(4):572−582. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2008.02.011
    Zêzere J L, Pereira S, Melo R, et al. Mapping landslide susceptibility using data-driven methods[J]. Science of The Total Environment,2017,589:250−267. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.188
    Zhang M, Liu J. Controlling factors of loess landslides in western China[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences,2010,59(8):1671−1680. doi: 10.1007/s12665-009-0149-7
    Zhou C, Yin K, Cao Y, et al. Application of time series analysis and PSO-SVM model in predicting the Bazimen landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir, China[J]. Engineering Geology,2016,204:108−120. doi: 10.1016/j.enggeo.2016.02.009
    Zhu L, Wang G, Huang F, et al. Landslide Susceptibility Prediction Using Sparse Feature Extraction and Machine Learning Models Based on GIS and Remote Sensing[J]. Ieee Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters,2022,19:1−5.

Catalog

    Article views (25) PDF downloads (17) Cited by()

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return