ISSN 1009-6248CN 61-1149/P 双月刊

主管单位:中国地质调查局

主办单位:中国地质调查局西安地质调查中心
中国地质学会

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    基于自适应机器学习的油田注采方法优化及其应用

    Optimization of Oilfield Injection-Production Methods Based on Adaptive Machine Learning and Its Application

    • 摘要: 随着油田开发进入中后期,地层能量亏空严重,注采矛盾日益突出,传统的经验配注及数值模拟方法在应对非均质性强、动态变化快的复杂油藏时,常面临计算耗时长、历史拟合困难及预测精度不足等挑战。基于上述问题,笔者提出一种融合生产动态数据、物理约束与自适应机器学习的注采优化方法。该方法以LSTM和XGBoost构建并行预测框架,通过多指标竞争选择预测模型;以卡尔曼滤波和非线性扩散滤波重构注采响应信号,结合物理约束ANN和梯度敏感性分析反演井间连通系数;在此基础上,建立兼顾产油量提高与含水率控制的双目标配注优化模型,并采用差分进化算法求解。B采油厂实例表明,物理约束LSTM的R2达到0.9521,MSE降至0.6513,预测精度和物理一致性均优于标准LSTM和XGBoost;井间连通性反演结果能够识别高含水优势通道并与地质认识相吻合;优化后区块产油量由175.00 m3/d提高至176.10 m3/d,日增油为1.10 m3/d。研究表明,数据驱动模型与渗流物理约束耦合,可减少对反复历史拟合的依赖,提高注采方案评价效率,为高含水后期油田精细配注和稳油控水提供技术支撑。

       

      Abstract: As oilfield development enters the middle and late stages, formation energy deficit becomes increasingly severe and injection-production conflicts become more prominent. Conventional empirical injection allocation and numerical simulation methods often face challenges such as high computational cost, difficult history matching, and insufficient prediction accuracy when applied to complex reservoirs with strong heterogeneity and rapid dynamic changes. To address these problems, an injection-production optimization method integrating production dynamic data, physical constraints, and adaptive machine learning is proposed. In this method, LSTM and XGBoost are used to construct a parallel prediction framework, and the prediction model is selected through multi-index competition. Kalman filtering and nonlinear diffusion filtering are adopted to reconstruct injection-production response signals, and a physics-constrained ANN combined with gradient sensitivity analysis is used to invert inter-well connectivity coefficients. On this basis, a dual-objective injection allocation optimization model considering both oil production enhancement and water-cut control is established and solved using the differential evolution algorithm. A case study from B Oil Production Plant shows that the physics-constrained LSTM achieves an R2 of 0.9521 and reduces the MSE to 0.6513, outperforming the standard LSTM and XGBoost in both prediction accuracy and physical consistency. The inter-well connectivity inversion results identify dominant high-water-cut flow channels and agree well with geological understanding. After optimization, block oil production increases from 175.00 m3/d to 176.10 m3/d, with an incremental oil production of 1.10 m3/d. The results indicate that coupling data-driven models with seepage-physics constraints can reduce reliance on repeated history matching, improve the evaluation efficiency of injection-production schemes, and provide technical support for refined injection allocation and stable oil production with water control in high-water-cut oilfields.

       

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