ISSN 1009-6248CN 61-1149/P 双月刊

主管单位:中国地质调查局

主办单位:中国地质调查局西安地质调查中心
中国地质学会

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    基于AHP和GIS的舟曲地质灾害易发性评价

    Geological Hazard Susceptibility Evaluation Based on AHP and GIS in Zhouqu County, Gansu

    • 摘要: 舟曲县是中国罕见的滑坡、泥石流地质灾害高发区,其防灾减灾工作具有一定的挑战性。依托舟曲县1∶50 000地质灾害风险调查工作,深入分析孕灾地质条件,选取地质灾害频率比、地质灾害面积模数比、地质灾害体积模数比、坡度、坡度变化率、坡形、切割深度、沟壑密度、岩土体类型、地质构造、植被指数11个评价因子,建立AHP评价模型,确定各因子权重,运用GIS平台综合评价舟曲县地质灾害易发性。结果显示:舟曲县地质灾害极高易发区和高易发区的面积分别为68.98 km2、390.9 km2,分别占县域总面积的2.29%和12.97%,主要分布在人员财产集中的白龙江流域、石门沟流域、拱坝河流域中下游和博峪河流域舟曲段中部区域;中易发区、低易发区对应的面积分别为1166.21 km2和1387.76 km2。研究成果为舟曲县城镇整体规划和地质灾害防治提供决策参考。

       

      Abstract: Zhouqu County is a rare national area with a high incidence of landslides and debris flows, and its disaster prevention and mitigation work is challenging. Relying on the 1∶50 000 geological disaster risk survey work in Zhouqu County, we deeply analyze the geological conditions for disaster, select 11 evaluation factors of geological disaster frequency ratio, geological disaster area modulus ratio, geological disaster volume modulus ratio, slope, slope change rate, slope shape, cutting depth, gully density, rock and soil type, faults, vegetation index, establish an evaluation model using analytic hierarchy process (AHP), determine the weight assignment of each factor, and use The GIS platform was used to comprehensively evaluate the vulnerability of geological disasters in Zhouqu County.. The results show that the areas of extremely high-prone and high-prone areas are 68.98 km2 and 390.9 km2 respectively in Zhouqu County, Gongba River Basin, middle area of Zhouqu section of Boyu River Basin , where people and properties are concentrated. The corresponding areas of the middle-prone and low-prone areas are 1166.21 km2 and 1387.76 km2, respectively. The research results provide references for the overall planning of Zhouqu County and geological disaster prevention and control.

       

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